UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 0-9
Sant Julià vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
LSO
4 - 0
SJU
62%
19%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2009 |
SJU
1 - 1
TFI
62%
19%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
TFI
1 - 1
SJU
36%
23%
41%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
LUS
0 - 1
SJU
26%
23%
51%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SJU
3 - 2
SCO
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
LSO
4 - 0
SJU
62%
19%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
OFK
1 - 1
LSO
38%
28%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
LSO
1 - 1
FKM
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SSO
0 - 1
LSO
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
LSO
5 - 0
SVA
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |