Sansepolcro Calcio vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sansepolcro Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ARZ
5 - 0
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAS
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
OST
1 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
RIE
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
LAN
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SAS
0 - 0
SSD
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 1
FOL
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 0
SSD
42%
24%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 1
ARZ
29%
26%
45%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
RIE
3 - 1
SSD
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |