Primera Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 2-7
Sansare vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sansare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
COM
0 - 1
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
DEP
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAN
65%
19%
16%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
MIX
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
REU
1 - 1
NUE
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
NUE
1 - 0
IZT
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
NUE
4 - 0
ROS
54%
23%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 1
NUE
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
NUE
1 - 0
SLC
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |