Primera Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
Sansare vs Chimaltenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sansare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
CON
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 0
SAN
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
DEP
59%
23%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 2
SAN
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACH
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 2
CHI
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 0
NUE
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SOL
0 - 2
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
7 - 1
ROS
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
SPD
2 - 0
CHI
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |