AD Sanjoanense vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAM
77%
15%
7%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ADN
3 - 1
SAN
18%
22%
59%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAN
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 12 | 43 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BUS
4 - 1
SAN
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
ACV
34%
28%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
4 - 0
ALB
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 1
PEN
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 3
OLI
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ADN
0 - 0
PEN
65%
20%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 0
OLI
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |