UCAM Murcia B vs Alcantarilla FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
15º
9º
25
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BUL
3 - 2
UCA
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CIE
1 - 2
UCA
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
UCA
3 - 1
RMC
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
UCA
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
UCA
0 - 2
MIN
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alcantarilla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 2
RMC
22%
24%
54%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
ALC
56%
24%
20%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 0
MIN
33%
25%
42%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
IMP
0 - 2
ALC
69%
19%
12%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 1
CAP
37%
26%
36%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |