Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 0-3
UCAM Murcia B vs At. Saguntino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
65.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
UCA
2 - 0
CIE
51%
21%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NUE
0 - 4
UCA
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2016 |
SAG
2 - 0
UCA
68%
21%
11%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 5
UCA
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
UCA
1 - 2
MUL
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
COR
1 - 1
SAG
58%
25%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SAG
0 - 0
MLL
43%
28%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2016 |
SAG
2 - 0
UCA
68%
21%
11%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ATB
1 - 1
SAG
62%
23%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 0
ALC
18%
27%
55%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |