Sangonera vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sangonera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PIN
1 - 0
LOR
20%
25%
55%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 0
LUM
76%
17%
7%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
LOR
0 - 2
DOL
76%
17%
7%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
UCA
0 - 0
LOR
28%
26%
46%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 1
ORI
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
BAL
0 - 1
CAL
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
AGU
3 - 2
BAL
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
IND
0 - 0
BAL
57%
24%
20%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
BAL
0 - 4
CAR
32%
26%
43%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
JUM
2 - 1
BAL
57%
24%
19%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |