League Cup Japan Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
KAA
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
VIS
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
CER
1 - 1
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
GAM
1 - 2
SAN
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
GAM
39%
24%
38%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SHI
1 - 5
NAG
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
URA
1 - 1
SHI
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
OMI
3 - 0
SHI
21%
26%
53%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
SHI
0 - 0
FCT
58%
22%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
FCT
1 - 1
SHI
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |