Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 1
URA
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
VEG
0 - 0
SAN
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 1
YFM
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
KAA
1 - 0
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
VIS
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
SAG
0 - 0
NAG
31%
27%
43%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
KAA
0 - 2
NAG
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
NAG
1 - 0
VEG
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
YFM
2 - 1
NAG
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
KAW
3 - 0
NAG
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |