Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
GAM
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
URA
2 - 2
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
URA
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
TOK
0 - 1
SAN
16%
25%
59%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
CER
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 0
VEG
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
GAM
5 - 0
ALB
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 2
TOK
73%
19%
8%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ALB
2 - 1
OMI
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
VIS
1 - 0
ALB
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |