Sandnes Ulf vs Jerv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
6º
1º
24
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 55 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 40 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 38 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 35 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 30 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 29 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 23 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
73.5% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18.5% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
8% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sandnes Ulf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
SAN
7 - 0
NOT
66%
20%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
SSK
1 - 2
SAN
42%
25%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
SAN
5 - 1
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
NOT
0 - 4
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
SAN
3 - 0
FFC
61%
21%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 4
JER
32%
23%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
JER
2 - 0
TRA
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
LYS
3 - 0
JER
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
JER
2 - 1
BRA
56%
21%
23%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
JER
4 - 1
ETO
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |