San Diego State vs UCLA Bruins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
50.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Diego State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SDS
0 - 1
WAH
10%
16%
74%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
SDS
0 - 1
OSB
15%
18%
66%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
STA
4 - 0
SDS
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
UCB
1 - 0
SDS
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
OSB
2 - 0
SDS
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UCLA Bruins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
UCB
3 - 2
OSB
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
UCB
0 - 3
WAH
15%
19%
67%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
UCB
1 - 1
STA
26%
22%
53%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
UCB
1 - 0
SDS
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
WAH
2 - 1
UCB
80%
13%
8%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |