San Diego State vs Stanford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
65.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Diego State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
SDS
2 - 0
CGB
45%
22%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SDS
0 - 4
OSB
18%
19%
63%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CGB
3 - 1
SDS
40%
22%
38%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
STA
3 - 1
SDS
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
SDS
2 - 0
WAH
7%
14%
79%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | +5 |
Matches
Stanford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
UCB
2 - 0
STA
13%
17%
70%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
NCA
1 - 1
STA
45%
22%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
OMC
0 - 1
STA
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
STA
1 - 0
WAH
35%
22%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
OSB
3 - 2
STA
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |