San Diego State vs Oregon State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
66.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Diego State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
STA
4 - 0
SDS
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
UCB
1 - 0
SDS
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
OSB
2 - 0
SDS
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
WAH
1 - 0
SDS
82%
12%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SDS
1 - 0
STA
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Oregon State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
OSB
2 - 0
CGB
86%
10%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
OSB
1 - 0
STA
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
WAH
2 - 3
OSB
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
STA
2 - 2
OSB
44%
22%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
CGB
0 - 1
OSB
13%
17%
69%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |