Sandefjord vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
14º
7º
18
2º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
29 | 57 |
1º
|
25.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 57 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 54 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 52 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 49 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 48 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 46 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 42 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 41 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 40 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 35 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 34 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 22 |
15º
|
72% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 11 |
16º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
3% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
13% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
83% | 93% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sandefjord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
S08
3 - 1
SDF
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
TRO
0 - 1
SDF
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SDF
2 - 0
HAM
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
ORN
0 - 2
SDF
7%
13%
80%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
FFK
3 - 1
SDF
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
VIF
2 - 4
BBS
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
KRI
0 - 2
VIF
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
VIF
0 - 2
RBK
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
GOF
1 - 1
VIF
5%
12%
84%
|
83 | 41 | 42 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
FFK
2 - 0
VIF
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |