San Severo vs Sporting Fulgor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Severo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
TAR
2 - 0
SSE
65%
21%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SSE
0 - 2
FBC
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 0
SSE
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SSE
1 - 1
FCF
49%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 0
SSE
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Fulgor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SFM
2 - 3
FCF
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAR
5 - 0
SFM
81%
13%
7%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SFM
2 - 2
POM
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
RAA
1 - 1
SFM
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SFM
0 - 3
AUD
7%
13%
80%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | -2 |