San Mauro vs Guineueta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Mauro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 2
SMA
24%
21%
55%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 1
UNI
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
UAH
0 - 2
SMA
33%
22%
45%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SMA
6 - 0
TAR
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RUB
2 - 1
SMA
49%
22%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guineueta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GUI
3 - 1
PIR
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
IGU
2 - 3
GUI
32%
25%
43%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 0
SAN
50%
23%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 1
GUI
22%
23%
55%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 2
TPE
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |