Torneo Federal B qualifying rounds 1/16
Global 2-2
San Martín Mendoza vs El Porvenir Mendoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CSE
1 - 2
SMA
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
GUT
2 - 1
SMA
53%
26%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
SMA
3 - 2
ATA
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FAD
1 - 0
SMA
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SMA
3 - 0
GUT
30%
28%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
El Porvenir Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CSE
1 - 2
SMA
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
AGA
0 - 3
CSE
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
CSE
0 - 0
PAC
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
OGA
0 - 1
CSE
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CSE
0 - 4
AGA
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |