San Martín Formosa vs CD Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+113%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LAG
0 - 1
SMA
26%
26%
49%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 3
ARN
83%
12%
6%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
JUC
1 - 0
SMA
12%
21%
67%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | -3 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 1
CSC
88%
9%
3%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 1
SMA
82%
14%
4%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
CD Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
LAG
32%
23%
46%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ARN
2 - 0
COM
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -3 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
COM
2 - 0
JUC
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
HUR
3 - 0
COM
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -3 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
COM
2 - 1
SMA
16%
22%
62%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | +6 |