San Marino Academy vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
58.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
FAE
3 - 1
SMA
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 5
COS
15%
23%
61%
|
34 | 69 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TFI
1 - 3
SMA
73%
18%
9%
|
32 | 70 | 38 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 0
FIO
17%
22%
61%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 2
JUV
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 0
FIO
72%
19%
9%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TFI
1 - 1
FIO
42%
26%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
FIO
4 - 1
TPE
36%
23%
41%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FIO
3 - 0
PEN
84%
13%
3%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 1
SGI
77%
17%
7%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |