San Marcos Arica vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 4
SAN
54%
24%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
CSL
31%
26%
44%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
ANT
0 - 2
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
BAR
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
OHI
1 - 1
UCO
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 2
PAL
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
SWA
2 - 0
UCO
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 1
NUB
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
COB
1 - 3
UCO
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |