San Luis de Quillota vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luis de Quillota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
COL
3 - 3
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
ACS
1 - 3
SAN
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 4
ACS
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
CSL
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCO
35%
25%
41%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 0
UCO
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
UCO
0 - 2
COL
40%
26%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCO
35%
25%
41%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
UCO
1 - 2
ANT
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
UCO
0 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |