San Lorenzo La Tigra vs CD Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo La Tigra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
SLT
84%
11%
6%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SLT
1 - 1
LSP
42%
22%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CSQ
2 - 3
SLT
37%
22%
42%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SLT
1 - 0
USP
43%
22%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LSP
2 - 0
SLT
37%
22%
42%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
SLT
84%
11%
6%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
UYF
1 - 1
COM
14%
19%
68%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
COM
7 - 0
ACH
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FTN
0 - 0
COM
13%
18%
69%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
UYF
85%
11%
5%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | +1 |