San Lazzaro vs Pro Desenzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lazzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
LAZ
11%
18%
71%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
GON
1 - 3
LAZ
17%
21%
62%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LAZ
2 - 2
POR
83%
12%
6%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
LAZ
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 4
LAZ
23%
22%
55%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Desenzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GON
2 - 1
DES
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
DES
0 - 1
MAR
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
DES
1 - 2
NUO
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
DES
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
DES
0 - 0
VIG
20%
21%
58%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |