San Juan vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 1
SJF
31%
27%
43%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
SJF
1 - 1
COA
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SJF
2 - 0
SPD
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VEN
1 - 1
SJF
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SJF
3 - 1
CAT
37%
25%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 1
SPD
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
VEN
3 - 1
LEO
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LEO
3 - 1
CAT
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
NUE
4 - 0
LEO
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
LEO
2 - 1
SOL
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |