Primera Catalana Promotion Play-offs Final
Global 3-5
San Juan At. M. vs Atletic Sant Just analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Juan At. M.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FCM
2 - 1
SAN
41%
24%
36%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 1
FCM
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
IGU
1 - 0
SAN
28%
23%
48%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 3
BBL
77%
14%
10%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ART
2 - 2
SAN
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atletic Sant Just
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 3
SJU
52%
22%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SJU
0 - 0
ARG
41%
23%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SJU
1 - 3
CFV
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 5
SJU
13%
17%
71%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SJU
1 - 4
SFC
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |