San Francisco II vs Independiente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
9º
12º
11º
34
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 16 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 13 |
11º
|
68% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Francisco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
UFC
3 - 2
SFF
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SFF
1 - 6
NAC
19%
23%
58%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
UDP
2 - 4
SFF
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +3 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SAP
3 - 2
SFF
32%
22%
46%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SFF
0 - 1
HFC
63%
20%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
OES
0 - 3
IDC
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
IDC
0 - 4
UDP
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
UFC
0 - 1
IDC
29%
24%
48%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
IDC
0 - 1
AFM
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
IDC
3 - 2
CDU
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |