San Fernando CD U19 vs CD Siempre Alegres U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
15º
4º
29
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Fernando CD U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
RCR
1 - 1
FER
51%
22%
27%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FER
3 - 0
CCF
64%
19%
16%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 1
FER
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
ALG
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ATS
1 - 4
FER
20%
21%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Siempre Alegres U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 3
SEV
18%
19%
63%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CDC
6 - 1
CDS
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 0
COR
47%
22%
31%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LSB
1 - 1
CDS
46%
22%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 1
COR
29%
22%
49%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |