3ª Andaluza Cádiz Promotion knock-outs Final
Global 3-5
San Fernando Atco. vs J. Sanluqueña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
+353%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Fernando Atco.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
SFA
3 - 0
ESP
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ESP
1 - 2
SFA
40%
21%
40%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SFA
2 - 0
CDT
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SLU
2 - 7
SFA
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FLO
0 - 4
SFA
8%
14%
78%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
J. Sanluqueña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
JSA
3 - 2
LRP
59%
18%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
LRP
2 - 3
JSA
36%
20%
44%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
TML
0 - 6
JSA
33%
21%
47%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
NFC
1 - 7
JSA
7%
13%
81%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
JSA
3 - 1
CDT
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |