San Diego Zest vs Fresno Fuego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Diego Zest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
SDZ
0 - 1
SEA
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
VEN
1 - 1
SDZ
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
TUC
1 - 0
SDZ
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
SDZ
2 - 2
VEN
36%
22%
42%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
FRE
5 - 2
SDZ
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
FRE
4 - 1
FRA
72%
16%
12%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
SCS
0 - 4
FRE
38%
25%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
OCB
0 - 4
FRE
5%
11%
83%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2017 |
BDR
0 - 2
FRE
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
FRE
3 - 1
VEN
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |