Torneo de Invierno Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
44.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 4
LDA
28%
26%
45%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
CSH
1 - 0
SAN
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
PFC
1 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 1
MUN
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CRU
2 - 3
SAN
32%
29%
40%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
SAP
3 - 0
CSC
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
BFC
2 - 0
SAP
37%
29%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
SAP
1 - 1
SAN
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ADC
2 - 2
SAP
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
PER
2 - 1
SAP
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |