Torneo de Invierno Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
San Carlos vs Brujas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CSH
2 - 2
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 1
LDA
36%
27%
36%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
PER
2 - 1
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 3
CSC
48%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Brujas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
PFC
2 - 4
BFC
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
RAM
2 - 2
BFC
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
BFC
4 - 2
ADC
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
BFC
1 - 2
SAP
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
BFC
3 - 0
MUN
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |