San Bartolome vs UD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
72.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Bartolome
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SBA
1 - 2
ELA
16%
20%
64%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VAL
5 - 2
SBA
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SBA
5 - 1
SIR
48%
22%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
OCD
4 - 0
SBA
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SBA
1 - 2
QUI
15%
18%
67%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PUL
2 - 1
QUI
44%
22%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 5
PUL
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PUL
4 - 1
ZOR
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PUL
4 - 2
FMO
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 2
PUL
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |