Samtse vs Ugyen Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
40.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samtse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 1
BUT
53%
20%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
TRU
3 - 0
SFC
71%
15%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TRU
5 - 1
SFC
73%
14%
13%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 0
PFC
81%
11%
8%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SFC
4 - 1
TEN
52%
20%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ugyen Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
UGY
1 - 2
THC
27%
20%
54%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
BUT
2 - 2
UGY
31%
21%
48%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
UGY
3 - 6
THC
22%
19%
59%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
UGY
1 - 2
TRA
87%
9%
4%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
UGY
3 - 2
NAM
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |