Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 0-3
Samtredia vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 3
SAB
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
MET
2 - 1
SAM
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 1
CHI
44%
26%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
GOR
3 - 0
SAM
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
MES
2 - 3
SAM
10%
18%
72%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
TOB
0 - 0
AST
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
AKZ
1 - 3
TOB
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
TOB
2 - 3
FCA
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
ATY
0 - 2
TOB
36%
30%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
TOB
0 - 1
KYZ
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |