Samtredia vs FC Iberia 1999 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
8º
10º
10º
32
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 69 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 66 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 64 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 62 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 53 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
6º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 39 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 38 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 34 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 27 |
10º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 16.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 52.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 31% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
76% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 0
SAM
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 0
FTK
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
DBA
3 - 1
SAM
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
TEL
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GOR
3 - 0
SAM
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FC Iberia 1999
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
3 - 3
FTK
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
TEL
0 - 3
SAB
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 3
SAB
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
3 - 1
GAG
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
SAB
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |