Samtredia vs FC Iberia 1999 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
10º
9º
51
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
DBA
3 - 2
SAM
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
FTK
26%
27%
46%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DTB
4 - 0
SAM
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
TEL
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
MIL
3 - 0
SAM
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
FC Iberia 1999
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 0
GOR
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SAB
2 - 1
SHU
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
DBA
3 - 1
SAB
67%
20%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 0
FTK
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RAN
2 - 1
SAB
54%
22%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |