Samtredia vs Kolkheti Poti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
10º
10º
41
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FTK
4 - 1
SAM
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
LOK
59%
20%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
ADU
64%
19%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
GAR
3 - 1
SAM
45%
23%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 1
GAR
36%
23%
41%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Kolkheti Poti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
DBA
1 - 0
KOL
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 2
NEF
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LIE
2 - 1
KOL
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
DBA
1 - 1
KOL
69%
17%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GAR
1 - 1
KOL
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |