Samtredia vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
10º
9º
38
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
SHU
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 0
SAM
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 3
SAB
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
DBA
3 - 2
SAM
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
FTK
26%
27%
46%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
GAG
0 - 0
GOR
20%
26%
54%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SAB
3 - 0
GAG
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GAG
1 - 4
DBA
15%
24%
61%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FTK
3 - 1
GAG
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
GAG
3 - 5
DTB
15%
25%
60%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |