Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 3-6
Samtredia vs Gabala FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
FKQ
5 - 1
SAM
38%
27%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 2
SIO
64%
22%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
GUR
0 - 2
SAM
23%
27%
51%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
KOL
0 - 3
SAM
19%
27%
54%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 1
DTB
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
FKQ
5 - 1
SAM
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
FCK
0 - 1
FKQ
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
FKQ
2 - 0
AZA
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
QAR
2 - 0
FKQ
43%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ZIR
0 - 3
FKQ
53%
26%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |