Samtredia vs FC Telavi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
10º
9º
37
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
MIL
3 - 0
SAM
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
GOR
2 - 2
SAM
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 0
GAR
58%
21%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SIO
0 - 2
SAM
45%
23%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 0
SIO
41%
23%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Telavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SAB
0 - 1
TEL
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TEL
1 - 1
GOR
22%
27%
51%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
DTB
1 - 1
TEL
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TEL
0 - 2
DBA
16%
26%
58%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FTK
1 - 0
TEL
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |