Samtredia vs FC Rustavi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
9º
8º
25
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 73 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 57 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 52 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 51 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 51 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 46 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 43 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 40 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 28 |
10º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 64.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
28% | 25% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
42.5% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
27% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 1
SAT
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 1
DBA
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2024 |
TEL
5 - 2
SAM
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 1
GOR
27%
27%
47%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 0
SAM
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Rustavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MET
3 - 2
MER
65%
20%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
TER
1 - 0
MET
49%
24%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
TEL
41%
25%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
TEL
2 - 1
MET
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
WIT
1 - 3
MET
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |