Samtredia vs Gonio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
9º
8º
20
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 73 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 57 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 52 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 51 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 51 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 46 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 43 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 40 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 28 |
10º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
28% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
42.5% | 35% |
|
Relegation
|
27% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2025 |
DIN
2 - 2
SAM
32%
25%
43%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 0
SPA
25%
25%
49%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
LOK
2 - 1
SAM
51%
24%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
SAM
0 - 0
SIO
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
MET
1 - 0
SAM
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gonio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2025 |
GON
3 - 0
MER
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
MES
1 - 0
GON
40%
29%
32%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
GON
0 - 4
SAT
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
GON
3 - 1
DIN
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
SPA
2 - 0
GON
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |