Sampedrense vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampedrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 2
ADN
21%
23%
57%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 2
SAM
13%
19%
68%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 1
BUS
32%
24%
43%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ACV
2 - 1
SAM
80%
15%
6%
|
26 | 63 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
ALB
29%
25%
46%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 3
OLI
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ADN
0 - 0
PEN
65%
20%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 0
OLI
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 2
PEN
13%
20%
67%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
VAL
80%
14%
7%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |