Serie B Playoffs Title Play-off Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Sampdoria vs Sassuolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
VAR
3 - 1
SAM
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 3
PES
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
JUS
1 - 2
SAM
28%
29%
43%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 1
REG
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
MOD
0 - 2
SAM
33%
29%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
JUS
1 - 3
SAS
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SAS
4 - 1
REG
50%
26%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 0
SAS
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
LIV
0 - 0
SAS
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SAS
2 - 0
CRO
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |