Sampdoria vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
GEN
0 - 2
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
SAM
1 - 0
SAL
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2003 |
TRI
2 - 2
SAM
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
SAM
1 - 1
BAR
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
SAM
2 - 1
ANC
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
SIE
0 - 1
TER
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
CAT
1 - 1
SIE
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
SIE
2 - 0
NAP
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
SIE
1 - 0
COS
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
BAR
0 - 0
SIE
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |