Serie B relegation play-off Final
Global 5-0
Sampdoria vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2025 |
JUS
0 - 0
SAM
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 0
SAL
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FCC
2 - 2
SAM
54%
23%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
SAM
0 - 0
USC
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 0
SAM
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2025 |
CTT
0 - 2
SAL
42%
28%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 0
SAL
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SAL
2 - 0
MAN
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
SPE
2 - 0
SAL
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
SAL
3 - 1
NUO
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |