Sampdoria vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
JUV
5 - 1
SAM
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOD
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
GEN
0 - 0
SAM
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
PRO
1 - 4
SAM
40%
23%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1949 |
TOR
2 - 1
SAM
90%
7%
4%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
NOV
3 - 0
TRI
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 1
NOV
68%
18%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
NOV
2 - 0
FIO
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1949 |
NOV
0 - 0
JUV
22%
24%
54%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
PAD
3 - 2
NOV
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |