Sampdoria vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAM
35%
29%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 1
VIC
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 0
SAM
33%
28%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
2 - 0
CRO
74%
17%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NOC
4 - 2
SAM
17%
27%
56%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 0
MOD
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
JUS
2 - 2
MOD
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MOD
0 - 2
EMP
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
MOD
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
MOD
2 - 5
SAS
41%
29%
31%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |